Analysis

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Price and energy
COTTON from 0.87841 to 0.87931, up 0.10%
Market Energy Bear Critical -73.5% to Bear Critical -61.2%, up 12.3 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.35%0.10%0.18%0.10%
Energy26.70.211.412.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.35% 0.10% 0.18% 0.10% 26.7 0.2 11.4 12.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 36% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.3 pts — higher than 65% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,660 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,421 times

When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,004 times70.7%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 417 times29.3%

Current COTTON market energy: -61.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.17%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.33%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-03 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-73.5%
Bear Critical
-61.2%
Bear Critical
-63.4%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, COTTON in the Bear Critical zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy at -61.2%, up +12.3% from -73.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -85.8 to +68.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.87931, up 0.1% from the previous candle (0.87841). Market Energy was -61.2%, up 12.3 points from -73.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.87931, up 0.1% from the previous 1H candle (0.87841). This rise is larger than 36% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,252 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73.5% to -61.2%. This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -73.5%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.2%, COTTON is 1.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.33 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.8%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -61.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.4%. COTTON (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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