Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.82731 to 0.85143, up 2.92%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -95.8% to Bear Critical -73.6%, up 22.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.34%2.28%1.20%2.92%
Energy1.521.57.022.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.34% 2.28% 1.20% 2.92% 1.5 21.5 7.0 22.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.92% — higher than 92% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 22.2 pts — higher than 80% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON Daily

Sample: 3,407 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 103 times

When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 72 times69.9%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 31 times30.1%

Current COTTON market energy: -73.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.64%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.86%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · D1 · 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-95.8%
Bear Extreme
-73.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the Daily candle, COTTON currently in the Bear Critical measurement.

On the energy side, A +22.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -73.6% (previous: -95.8%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -95.8 to -67.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.85143, up 2.92% from the previous candle (0.82731). Market Energy was -73.6%, up 22.2 points from -95.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.85143, up 2.92% from the previous Daily candle (0.82731). This rise is larger than 92% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for COTTON, across 1,941 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 22.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -95.8% to -73.6%. This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COTTON at -95.8%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, COTTON moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.6%, COTTON is 13.64 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.86 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.7%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -73.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -37.1%. COTTON (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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