Analysis

COFFEE 2.8489 ↓3.69%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 20:00 Oct 26, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2.871 · High 2.9288 · Low 2.844 · Close 2.8489 · Range (high − low) 0.08475
COFFEE closed at 2.8489, down 0.10909 (-3.69%) from 2.958.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -21.9% to Bear Extreme at -96.9%, down 74.9 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price3.00592.99632.9582.8489
Energy-16.3%-4.0%-21.9%-96.9%
Price change↑ 2.06%↓ 0.32%↓ 1.28%↓ 3.69%
Energy change↑ 15.3↑ 12.4↓ 18.0↓ 74.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 2.06%↓ 0.32%↓ 1.28%↓ 3.69%↑ 15.3↑ 12.4↓ 18.0↓ 74.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.69% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 74.9 pts — higher than 95% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COFFEE 4H

Sample: 130 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 3 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 3 times — 100%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: -96.85%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 22.35%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.15%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H4 · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COFFEE chart →
Market Energy
-21.9%
Bear Bias
-96.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Bear in Extreme state is the result just recorded for COFFEE after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy measurement Market trend energy recorded a -74.9% drop from the previous candle, from -21.9% to -96.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -96.9 to 37.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 26-10-2026, COFFEE was at 2.8489, down 3.69% from the previous candle (2.958). Market Energy was -96.9%, down 74.9 points from -21.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.8489, down 3.69% from the previous 4H candle (2.958). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE, across 130 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 74.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -21.9% to -96.9%. This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COFFEE at -21.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.9%, COFFEE is 22.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.15 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.3%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Extreme, -96.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 89.7%. COFFEE (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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