Analysis

COFFEE 2.8035 ↓1.54%: Bears very strong · 4H 00:00 Oct 10, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2.8475 · High 2.8733 · Low 2.7985 · Close 2.8035 · Range (high − low) 0.07475
COFFEE closed at 2.8035, down 0.04375 (-1.54%) from 2.8473.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -45.8% to Bear Critical at -61.7%, down 15.8 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2.82712.83862.84732.8035
Energy-59.5%-56.0%-45.8%-61.7%
Price change↓ 2.30%↑ 0.41%↑ 0.31%↓ 1.54%
Energy change↓ 43.8↑ 3.5↑ 10.2↓ 15.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 2.30%↑ 0.41%↑ 0.31%↓ 1.54%↓ 43.8↑ 3.5↑ 10.2↓ 15.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.54% — higher than 55% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.8 pts — higher than 56% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COFFEE 4H

Sample: 122 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 5 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bear Critical:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 80%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 1 times — 20%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: -61.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.84%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H4 · 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COFFEE chart →
Market Energy
-45.8%
Bear Bias
-61.7%
Bear Critical
-56.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, COFFEE reflects the Bear Critical zone.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy reading dropped -15.8%, moving from -45.8% to -61.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -61.7 to 66.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 09-10-2026, COFFEE was at 2.8035, down 1.54% from the previous candle (2.8473). Market Energy was -61.7%, down 15.8 points from -45.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.8035, down 1.54% from the previous 4H candle (2.8473). This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE, across 109 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.8% to -61.7%. This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COFFEE at -45.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.7%, COFFEE is 1.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.84 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -1.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.9%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Critical, -61.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 93.3%. COFFEE (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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