Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COFFEE from 2.848 to 2.7976, down 1.77%
Market Energy Bull Critical 74.2% to Bull Bias 49.0%, down 25.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.42%▲ 2.17%▲ 1.20%▼ 1.77%
Energy▼ 9.9▲ 47.1▲ 29.8▼ 25.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.42%▲ 2.17%▲ 1.20%▼ 1.77%▼ 9.9▲ 47.1▲ 29.8▼ 25.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.77% — higher than 63% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.2 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias COFFEE 4H

Sample: 93 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 6 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bull Bias:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 1 times — 16.7%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 5 times — 83.3%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: 48.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.09%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H4 · 2026-09-29 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
74.2%
Bull Critical
49.0%
Bull Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Trend energy leaning Bull is the result just recorded for COFFEE after the 4H candle closed.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Market Energy reading dropped -25.2%, moving from 74.2% to 49% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -22.7 to +74.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, COFFEE was at 2.7976, down 1.77% from the previous candle (2.848). Market Energy was 49%, down 25.2 points from 74.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.7976, down 1.77% from the previous 4H candle (2.848). This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE, across 92 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 74.2% to 49%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COFFEE at 74.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 49%, COFFEE is 11.03 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 28.09 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bull Bias, 49%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 92.9%. COFFEE (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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