Analysis

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Price and energy
COFFEE from 2.7959 to 2.7803, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.2% to Bear Extreme -75.6%, down 11.4 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.91%1.10%1.58%0.56%
Energy32.912.138.911.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.91% 1.10% 1.58% 0.56% 32.9 12.1 38.9 11.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 19% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.4 pts — higher than 42% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COFFEE 4H

Sample: 74 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2 times

When COFFEE is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 2 times100%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current COFFEE market energy: -75.57%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.07%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.43%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H4 · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-64.2%
Bear Critical
-75.6%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

COFFEE classified into the Extreme state of Bear after the 4H candle completed.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, The energy level dropped -11.4%: from -64.2% now at -75.6%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -75.6 to -13.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, COFFEE was at 2.7803, down 0.56% from the previous candle (2.7959). Market Energy was -75.6%, down 11.4 points from -64.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.7803, down 0.56% from the previous 4H candle (2.7959). This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE, across 74 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64.2% to -75.6%. This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COFFEE at -64.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.6%, COFFEE is 1.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.43 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -9.3%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Extreme, -75.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.5%. COFFEE (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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