Analysis

COFFEE 2.9753 ↑0.2%: Bears have the edge · 1H 23:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2.9691 · High 2.9773 · Low 2.9436 · Close 2.9753 · Range (high − low) 0.03375
COFFEE closed at 2.9753, up 0.006 (+0.20%) from 2.9693.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -41.7% to Bear Bias at -27.5%, up 14.3 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price3.03232.97662.96932.9753
Energy78.3%-2.4%-41.7%-27.5%
Price change↑ 0.48%↓ 1.84%↓ 0.24%↑ 0.20%
Energy change↓ 2.5↓ 80.7↓ 39.3↑ 14.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.48%↓ 1.84%↓ 0.24%↑ 0.20%↓ 2.5↓ 80.7↓ 39.3↑ 14.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.20% — higher than 29% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 14.3 pts — higher than 64% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COFFEE 1H

Sample: 23,176 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,923 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bear Bias:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 1,244 times — 64.7%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 679 times — 35.3%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: -27.47%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 6.59%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 32.53%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H1 · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COFFEE chart →
Market Energy
-41.7%
Bear Bias
-27.5%
Bear Bias
20.9%
Bull Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, COFFEE recorded in the Bear Bias zone.

Market energy measurement Market Energy moved from -41.7% to -27.5%, up +14.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -79.3 to 98.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 23:00 on 16-10-2026, COFFEE was at 2.9753, up 0.2% from the previous candle (2.9693). Market Energy was -27.5%, up 14.3 points from -41.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.9753, up 0.2% from the previous 1H candle (2.9693). This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COFFEE, across 18,230 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 14.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -41.7% to -27.5%. This rise is larger than 64% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COFFEE at -41.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -27.5%, COFFEE is 6.59 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 32.53 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.6%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Bias, -27.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 61.4%. COFFEE (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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