Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COFFEE from 2.7136 to 2.6879, down 0.95%
Market Energy Bear Critical -74.1% to Bear Extreme -87.3%, down 13.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.06%0.02%0.97%0.95%
Energy5.95.42.613.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.06% 0.02% 0.97% 0.95% 5.9 5.4 2.6 13.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.95% — higher than 36% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.2 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COFFEE Daily

Sample: 3,395 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 70 times

When COFFEE is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 70 times100%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current COFFEE market energy: -87.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.79%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 12.71%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · D1 · 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-74.1%
Bear Critical
-87.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, COFFEE currently in the Bear Extreme zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -13.2% this candle, currently -87.3% (previous candle -74.1%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -87.3 to -71.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, COFFEE was at 2.6879, down 0.95% from the previous candle (2.7136). Market Energy was -87.3%, down 13.2 points from -74.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.6879, down 0.95% from the previous Daily candle (2.7136). This drop is larger than 36% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COFFEE, across 1,936 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.1% to -87.3%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COFFEE at -74.1%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -87.3%, COFFEE is 12.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 12.71 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Extreme, -87.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.8%. COFFEE (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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