Analysis

COCOA 5,772.85 ↑1.66%: Bears very strong · 4H 00:00 Oct 20, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5,676.35 · High 5,792.6 · Low 5,664.85 · Close 5,772.85 · Range (high − low) 127.75
COCOA closed at 5,772.85, up 94.5 (+1.66%) from 5,678.35.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -80.6% to Bear Critical at -63.8%, up 16.8 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5,886.45,756.95,678.45,772.9
Energy-24.4%-38.8%-80.6%-63.8%
Price change↑ 0.80%↓ 2.20%↓ 1.36%↑ 1.66%
Energy change↑ 4.6↓ 14.4↓ 41.8↑ 16.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.80%↓ 2.20%↓ 1.36%↑ 1.66%↑ 4.6↓ 14.4↓ 41.8↑ 16.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.66% — higher than 53% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 16.8 pts — higher than 62% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COCOA 4H

Sample: 124 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 5 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 100%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -63.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.7%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H4 · 2026-10-19 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
-63.8%
Bear Critical
45.8%
Bull Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, COCOA noted at the Bear Critical measurement.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta +16.8%: Market Energy at -63.8%, previously -80.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -80.6 to 19.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 19-10-2026, COCOA was at 5,772.85, up 1.66% from the previous candle (5,678.35). Market Energy was -63.8%, up 16.8 points from -80.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,772.85, up 1.66% from the previous 4H candle (5,678.35). This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA, across 121 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -80.6% to -63.8%. This rise is larger than 62% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COCOA at -80.6%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.8%, COCOA is 3.8 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.7 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Critical, -63.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -1.2%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 62.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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