Analysis

·

Price and energy
COCOA from 6,218.85 to 6,218.85, flat 0.00%
Market Energy Bear Bias -45.7% to Bear Bias -46.5%, down 0.8 pts
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.77%1.62%0.85%0.00%
Energy11.01.40.80.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.77% 1.62% 0.85%0.00% 11.0 1.4 0.8 0.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price flat 0.00%: not enough data to rank
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.8 pts — higher than 8% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA 4H

Sample: 68 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 7 times

When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 6 times85.7%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 1 times14.3%

Current COCOA market energy: -46.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 25.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 13.54%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H4 · 2026-09-04 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-45.7%
Bear Bias
-46.5%
Bear Bias
-69.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias energy zone determined for COCOA through the 4H candle data.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -0.8% from the previous candle, from -45.7% to -46.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -61.3 to +96.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 6,218.85, unchanged 0% from the previous candle (6,218.85). Market Energy was -46.5%, down 0.8 points from -45.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 6,218.85, unchanged 0% from the previous 4H candle (6,218.85).

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.7% to -46.5%. This drop is larger than 8% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price held flat while energy moved. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COCOA at -45.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -46.5%, COCOA is 25.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 13.54 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.6%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -46.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 23.5%. COCOA (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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