Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
CHFJPY from 189.784 to 189.6925, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -75.0% to Bear Extreme -75.3%, down 0.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.13%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.05%
Energy▲ 8.7▲ 8.6▲ 4.1▼ 0.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.13%▲ 0.04%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.05%▲ 8.7▲ 8.6▲ 4.1▼ 0.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.3 pts — higher than 2% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme CHFJPY 1H

Sample: 58,343 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,609 times

▸When CHFJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,609 times — 100%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current CHFJPY market energy: -75.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.72%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H1 · 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-75.0%
Bear Extreme
-75.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
02:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, CHFJPY shows the Bear Extreme zone.

On the measurement side, Market Energy moved from -75% to -75.3%, down -0.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 7 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +98.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 26-09-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 189.6925, down 0.05% from the previous candle (189.784). Market Energy was -75.3%, down 0.3 points from -75%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 189.6925, down 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (189.784). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 48,210 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75% to -75.3%. This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had CHFJPY at -75%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.3%, CHFJPY is 0.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.4%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Extreme, -75.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.2%. CHFJPY energy is currently below DXY by 73 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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