Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
CADJPY from 110.8465 to 110.706, down 0.13%
Market Energy Bear Bias -54.7% to Bear Critical -64.6%, down 9.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.13%
Energy▲ 4.7▲ 5.5▼ 8.2▼ 9.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.13%▲ 4.7▲ 5.5▼ 8.2▼ 9.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.9 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical CADJPY 4H

Sample: 289 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 13 times

▸When CADJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then CADJPY moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 76.9%
  • then CADJPY moved to lower Market State: 3 times — 23.1%

▸Current CADJPY market energy: -64.63%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.63%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.87%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

CADJPY · H4 · 2026-09-29 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-54.7%
Bear Bias
-64.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Market CADJPY in the Bear Critical energy zone.

The energy side shows Market Energy at -64.6%, down -9.9% from -54.7% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CADJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +33.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CADJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, CADJPY was at 110.706, down 0.13% from the previous candle (110.8465). Market Energy was -64.6%, down 9.9 points from -54.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did CADJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CADJPY closed at 110.706, down 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (110.8465). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY, across 294 candles since 2019.

How did CADJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -54.7% to -64.6%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY.

Do CADJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was CADJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CADJPY at -54.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, CADJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does CADJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.6%, CADJPY is 4.63 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.87 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 4.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 22.6%. Against this backdrop, CADJPY (Bear Critical, -64.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -41.2%. CADJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CADJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CADJPY on the CADJPY overview →

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