Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
CADJPY from 111.9675 to 111.764, down 0.18%
Market Energy Bear Bias -34.0% to Bear Critical -70.1%, down 36.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▼ 0.19%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.18%
Energy▼ 3.0▼ 29.2▼ 67.6▼ 36.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▼ 0.19%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.18%▼ 3.0▼ 29.2▼ 67.6▼ 36.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 36.0 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical CADJPY 4H

Sample: 273 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 11 times

▸When CADJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then CADJPY moved to higher Market State: 9 times — 81.8%
  • then CADJPY moved to lower Market State: 2 times — 18.2%

▸Current CADJPY market energy: -70.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.44%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

CADJPY · H4 · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-34.0%
Bear Bias
-70.1%
Bear Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, CADJPY reflects Bear Critical.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -36% from the previous session, from -34% to -70.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CADJPY Market Energy ranged from -70.1 to +80.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CADJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, CADJPY was at 111.764, down 0.18% from the previous candle (111.9675). Market Energy was -70.1%, down 36.0 points from -34%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did CADJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CADJPY closed at 111.764, down 0.18% from the previous 4H candle (111.9675). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY, across 278 candles since 2019.

How did CADJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36 percentage points from the previous candle — from -34% to -70.1%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY.

Do CADJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was CADJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CADJPY at -34%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, CADJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does CADJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.1%, CADJPY is 10.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.44 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 62.7%. Against this backdrop, CADJPY (Bear Critical, -70.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.2%. CADJPY energy is currently below DXY by 55.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CADJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CADJPY on the CADJPY overview →

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