Analysis

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Price and energy
CADJPY from 114.703 to 114.0165, down 0.60%
Market Energy Bear Bias -29.6% to Bear Extreme -75.0%, down 45.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.07%0.05%0.60%
Energy44.312.20.645.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.07% 0.05% 0.60% 44.3 12.2 0.6 45.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.60% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 45.4 pts — higher than 88% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme CADJPY 4H

Sample: 208 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 9 times

When CADJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then CADJPY moved to higher Market State: 9 times100%
  • then CADJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current CADJPY market energy: -75.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.52%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.98%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

CADJPY · H4 · 2026-09-03 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-29.6%
Bear Bias
-75.0%
Bear Extreme
-88.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, CADJPY recorded in Bear Extreme.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -45.4%, moving from -29.6% to -75% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CADJPY Market Energy ranged from -90.9 to +79.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CADJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, CADJPY was at 114.0165, down 0.6% from the previous candle (114.703). Market Energy was -75%, down 45.4 points from -29.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did CADJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CADJPY closed at 114.0165, down 0.6% from the previous 4H candle (114.703). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY, across 181 candles since 2019.

How did CADJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 45.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -29.6% to -75%. This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY.

Do CADJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was CADJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CADJPY at -29.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, CADJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does CADJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75%, CADJPY is 0.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.98 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -10.3%. Against this backdrop, CADJPY (Bear Extreme, -75%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -52.5%. CADJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CADJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CADJPY on the CADJPY overview →

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