Analysis

BTCUSD 82,113.93 ↓0.33%: Bulls have the edge · 1H 04:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 82,384.74 · High 82,442.99 · Low 81,942.24 · Close 82,113.93 · Range (high − low) 500.75
BTCUSD closed at 82,113.93, down 270.8 (-0.33%) from 82,384.73.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 75.4% to Bull Bias at 59.7%, down 15.7 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price82,44082,41082,38582,114
Energy79.4%78.9%75.4%59.7%
Price change↑ 0.40%↓ 0.04%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.33%
Energy change↓ 3.7↓ 0.5↓ 3.5↓ 15.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.40%↓ 0.04%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.33%↓ 3.7↓ 0.5↓ 3.5↓ 15.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.33% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.7 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 95,492 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 8,789 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,364 times — 38.3%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 5,425 times — 61.7%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: 59.65%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 0.35%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 38.77%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live BTCUSD chart →
Market Energy
75.4%
Bull Extreme
59.7%
Bull Bias
61.6%
Bull Critical
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, BTCUSD recorded in the Bull Bias energy zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy dropped -15.7% this candle, currently 59.7% (previous candle 75.4%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.7 to 99.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 04:00 on 16-10-2026, BTCUSD was at 82,113.93, down 0.33% from the previous candle (82,384.73). Market Energy was 59.7%, down 15.7 points from 75.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 82,113.93, down 0.33% from the previous 1H candle (82,384.73). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 68,266 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.4% to 59.7%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 75.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Bias.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 59.7%, BTCUSD is 0.35 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 38.77 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bull Bias, 59.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.6%. BTCUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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