Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
BTCUSD from 83,623.6 to 83,509.03, down 0.14%
Market Energy Neutral 13.8% to Neutral -2.1%, down 16.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.10%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.14%
Energy▲ 1.8▼ 1.9▼ 8.6▼ 16.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.10%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.14%▲ 1.8▼ 1.9▼ 8.6▼ 16.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.14% — higher than 33% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.0 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,964 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-30
Number of Neutral occurrences: 9,374 times

▸When BTCUSD is in Neutral:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 5,003 times — 53.4%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,371 times — 46.6%

▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -2.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 22.99%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 18.77%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
13.8%
Neutral
-2.1%
Neutral
-8.9%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, Market Energy of BTCUSD indicates the balanced energy zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy reading dropped -16%, moving from 13.8% to -2.1% after the 1H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 07:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 83,509.03, down 0.14% from the previous candle (83,623.6). Market Energy was -2.1%, down 16.0 points from 13.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 83,509.03, down 0.14% from the previous 1H candle (83,623.6). This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 67,910 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16 percentage points from the previous candle — from 13.8% to -2.1%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 13.8%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -2.1%, BTCUSD is 22.99 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 18.77 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -8.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.3%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Neutral, -2.1%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.3%. BTCUSD energy is currently below DXY by 73.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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