Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 77,131 to 77,114.99, down 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -89.8% to Bear Extreme -80.6%, up 9.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.19%0.10%0.02%
Energy17.769.156.19.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.19% 0.10% 0.02% 17.7 69.1 56.1 9.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 5% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.2 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,534 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-12
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,697 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,697 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -80.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.06%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.44%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-09-12 19:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-89.8%
Bear Extreme
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, BTCUSD shows the Bear Extreme level.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading rose +9.2%, moving from -89.8% to -80.6% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.3 to +96.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 13-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 77,114.99, down 0.02% from the previous candle (77,131). Market Energy was -80.6%, up 9.2 points from -89.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 77,114.99, down 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (77,131). This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 67,473 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -89.8% to -80.6%. This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -89.8%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.6%, BTCUSD is 6.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.44 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -80.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. BTCUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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