Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 78,414.42 to 78,234.94, down 0.23%
Market Energy Bear Bias -46.4% to Bear Critical -63.1%, down 16.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.26%0.04%0.46%0.23%
Energy7.63.613.916.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.26% 0.04% 0.46% 0.23% 7.6 3.6 13.9 16.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.23% — higher than 49% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.7 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,469 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 4,113 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,099 times75.3%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,014 times24.7%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -63.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 11.43%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-46.4%
Bear Bias
-63.1%
Bear Critical
-53.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, Market Energy of BTCUSD indicates the near-peak Bear energy level.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -16.7% this candle, currently -63.1% (previous candle -46.4%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.3 to +90.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 02:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 78,234.94, down 0.23% from the previous candle (78,414.42). Market Energy was -63.1%, down 16.7 points from -46.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 78,234.94, down 0.23% from the previous 1H candle (78,414.42). This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 67,401 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46.4% to -63.1%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at -46.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.1%, BTCUSD is 3.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 11.43 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -63.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 46.1%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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