Analysis

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Price and energy
BTCUSD from 81,224.86 to 79,453.96, down 2.18%
Market Energy Bull Bias 39.8% to Bear Extreme -90.8%, down 130.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.15%0.06%2.18%
Energy13.27.05.5130.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.15% 0.06% 2.18% 13.2 7.0 5.5 130.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.18% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 130.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BTCUSD 1H

Sample: 94,390 1H candles from 2013-11-15 to 2026-09-06
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,693 times

When BTCUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,693 times100%
  • then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BTCUSD market energy: -90.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 16.32%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 9.18%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BTCUSD · H1 · 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
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Market Energy
39.8%
Bull Bias
-90.8%
Bear Extreme
-97.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, Market Energy of BTCUSD indicates the Bear Extreme level.

Market energy movement Energy delta -130.6%: Market Energy at -90.8%, previously 39.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -96 to +99.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 79,453.96, down 2.18% from the previous candle (81,224.86). Market Energy was -90.8%, down 130.6 points from 39.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BTCUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

BTCUSD closed at 79,453.96, down 2.18% from the previous 1H candle (81,224.86). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 67,274 candles since 2019.

How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 130.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 39.8% to -90.8%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for BTCUSD on record since 2019.

Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had BTCUSD at 39.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -90.8%, BTCUSD is 16.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 9.18 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.9%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Extreme, -90.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 37.6%. BTCUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →

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