Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
BNBUSD from 788.67 to 787.14, down 0.19%
Market Energy Bull Critical 73.6% to Bull Critical 61.5%, down 12.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.29%▲ 0.42%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.19%
Energy▼ 8.7▼ 1.0▼ 8.0▼ 12.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.29%▲ 0.42%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.19%▼ 8.7▼ 1.0▼ 8.0▼ 12.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.19% — higher than 18% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.0 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical BNBUSD 4H

Sample: 19,509 4H candles from 2017-11-06 to 2026-10-04
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,088 times

▸When BNBUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then BNBUSD moved to higher Market State: 331 times — 30.4%
  • then BNBUSD moved to lower Market State: 757 times — 69.6%

▸Current BNBUSD market energy: 61.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.53%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

BNBUSD · H4 · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
73.6%
Bull Critical
61.5%
Bull Critical
Expected at
03:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, BNBUSD in Bull trend energy near extreme.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Energy delta -12%: Market Energy at 61.5%, previously 73.6%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BNBUSD Market Energy ranged from -66 to +94.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BNBUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 04-10-2026 closed, BNBUSD was at 787.14, down 0.19% from the previous candle (788.67). Market Energy was 61.5%, down 12.0 points from 73.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did BNBUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BNBUSD closed at 787.14, down 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (788.67). This drop is larger than 18% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BNBUSD, across 16,997 candles since 2019.

How did BNBUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12 percentage points from the previous candle — from 73.6% to 61.5%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BNBUSD.

Do BNBUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BNBUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BNBUSD at 73.6%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BNBUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 61.5%, BNBUSD is 12.97 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 1.53 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, BNBUSD (Bull Critical, 61.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. BNBUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BNBUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BNBUSD on the BNBUSD overview →

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