Analysis

·

Price and energy
BCHUSD from 222.9 to 222.5, down 0.18%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.4% to Bear Critical -66.7%, up 3.7 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.68%1.07%0.32%0.18%
Energy14.38.06.43.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.68% 1.07% 0.32% 0.18% 14.3 8.0 6.4 3.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 12% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.7 pts — higher than 22% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,886 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 659 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 491 times74.5%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 168 times25.5%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -66.66%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.84%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2026-07-16 16:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-70.4%
Bear Critical
-66.7%
Bear Critical
-65.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, Market Energy of BCHUSD indicates the Bear Critical measurement.

On the energy side, Market Energy rose +3.7% this candle, currently -66.7% (previous candle -70.4%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.1 to +38.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 16-07-2026 closed, BCHUSD was at 222.5, down 0.18% from the previous candle (222.9). Market Energy was -66.7%, up 3.7 points from -70.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 222.5, down 0.18% from the previous 4H candle (222.9). This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 14,532 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.4% to -66.7%. This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at -70.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.7%, BCHUSD is 6.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.84 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.3%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Critical, -66.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.7%. BCHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BCHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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