Analysis

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Price and energy
BCHUSD from 237.2 to 237.7, up 0.21%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -86.1% to Bear Extreme -78.5%, up 7.7 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.63%1.62%0.34%0.21%
Energy74.716.90.27.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.63% 1.62% 0.34% 0.21% 74.7 16.9 0.2 7.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.21% — higher than 15% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.7 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,888 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 421 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 421 times100%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -78.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.98%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.52%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2026-07-13 08:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-86.1%
Bear Extreme
-78.5%
Bear Extreme
-73.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, BCHUSD classified as the extreme Bear energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +7.7% from the previous candle, from -86.1% to -78.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.1 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 13-07-2026 closed, BCHUSD was at 237.7, up 0.21% from the previous candle (237.2). Market Energy was -78.5%, up 7.7 points from -86.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 237.7, up 0.21% from the previous 4H candle (237.2). This rise is larger than 15% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 14,512 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -86.1% to -78.5%. This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at -86.1%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.5%, BCHUSD is 3.98 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.52 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.7%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Extreme, -78.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -93.3%. BCHUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BCHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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