Analysis

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Price and energy
BCHUSD from 246.8 to 240.3, down 2.63%
Market Energy Neutral 5.7% to Bear Critical -69.0%, down 74.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.69%0.32%0.53%2.63%
Energy9.72.011.774.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.69% 0.32% 0.53% 2.63% 9.7 2.0 11.7 74.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.63% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 74.7 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical BCHUSD 4H

Sample: 14,868 4H candles from 2019-11-28 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 658 times

When BCHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then BCHUSD moved to higher Market State: 490 times74.5%
  • then BCHUSD moved to lower Market State: 168 times25.5%

Current BCHUSD market energy: -69.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.46%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

BCHUSD · H4 · 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
5.7%
Neutral
-69.0%
Bear Critical
-86.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, BCHUSD reflects the Bear Critical zone.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy moved from 5.7% to -69%, down -74.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, BCHUSD Market Energy ranged from -69 to +89.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did BCHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 13-07-2026 closed, BCHUSD was at 240.3, down 2.63% from the previous candle (246.8). Market Energy was -69%, down 74.7 points from 5.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did BCHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

BCHUSD closed at 240.3, down 2.63% from the previous 4H candle (246.8). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD, across 14,509 candles since 2019.

How did BCHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 74.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 5.7% to -69%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BCHUSD.

Do BCHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was BCHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had BCHUSD at 5.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, BCHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does BCHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69%, BCHUSD is 9.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.46 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -1.1%. Against this backdrop, BCHUSD (Bear Critical, -69%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.3%. BCHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for BCHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for BCHUSD on the BCHUSD overview →

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