Analysis

AVAXUSD 9.529 ↓0.41%: Bears very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 20, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 9.566 · High 9.662 · Low 9.489 · Close 9.529 · Range (high − low) 0.173
AVAXUSD closed at 9.529, down 0.039 (-0.41%) from 9.568.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -54.6% to Bear Critical at -68.8%, down 14.2 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price9.7839.6419.5689.529
Energy0.3%-17.1%-54.6%-68.8%
Price change↑ 0.27%↓ 1.45%↓ 0.76%↓ 0.41%
Energy change↑ 3.2↓ 17.4↓ 37.5↓ 14.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.27%↓ 1.45%↓ 0.76%↓ 0.41%↑ 3.2↓ 17.4↓ 37.5↓ 14.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.41% — higher than 22% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.2 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,311 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 639 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 473 times — 74%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 166 times — 26%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: -68.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 8.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.71%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
-54.6%
Bear Bias
-68.8%
Bear Critical
-57.5%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

AVAXUSD processing result: the near-extreme Bear energy level after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy measurement A -14.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -68.8% (previous: -54.6%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.5 to 75.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 19-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 9.529, down 0.41% from the previous candle (9.568). Market Energy was -68.8%, down 14.2 points from -54.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.529, down 0.41% from the previous 4H candle (9.568). This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,310 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -54.6% to -68.8%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -54.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -68.8%, AVAXUSD is 8.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.71 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 31.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.8%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -68.8%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 48.7%. AVAXUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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