Analysis

AVAXUSD 10.09 ↓2.09%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 23:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 10.304 · High 10.402 · Low 10.081 · Close 10.09 · Range (high − low) 0.321
AVAXUSD closed at 10.09, down 0.215 (-2.09%) from 10.305.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 68.6% to Bull Bias at 32.4%, down 36.2 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price10.06110.15410.30510.09
Energy66.7%75.0%68.6%32.4%
Price change↑ 0.19%↑ 0.92%↑ 1.49%↓ 2.09%
Energy change↓ 1.9↑ 8.3↓ 6.3↓ 36.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.19%↑ 0.92%↑ 1.49%↓ 2.09%↓ 1.9↑ 8.3↓ 6.3↓ 36.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.09% — higher than 75% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 36.2 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,303 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,061 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 421 times — 39.7%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 640 times — 60.3%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 32.4%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 27.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 11.52%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
68.6%
Bull Critical
32.4%
Bull Bias
-12.7%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

AVAXUSD classified into Bull Bias after the 4H candle completed.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at 32.4%, down -36.2% from 68.6% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.5 to 99.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 16-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 10.09, down 2.09% from the previous candle (10.305). Market Energy was 32.4%, down 36.2 points from 68.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 10.09, down 2.09% from the previous 4H candle (10.305). This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,291 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 36.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.6% to 32.4%. This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 68.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 32.4%, AVAXUSD is 27.6 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 11.52 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -0.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.2%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Bias, 32.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42.1%. AVAXUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .