Analysis

AVAXUSD 10.06 ↑0.69%: Bulls very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 9.993 · High 10.09 · Low 9.892 · Close 10.06 · Range (high − low) 0.198
AVAXUSD closed at 10.06, up 0.069 (+0.69%) from 9.991.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 20.6% to Bull Critical at 69.1%, up 48.5 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price9.619.569.99110.06
Energy-77.6%-73.9%20.6%69.1%
Price change↑ 0.59%↓ 0.52%↑ 4.51%↑ 0.69%
Energy change↑ 0.7↑ 3.7↑ 94.5↑ 48.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.59%↓ 0.52%↑ 4.51%↑ 0.69%↑ 0.7↑ 3.7↑ 94.5↑ 48.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.69% — higher than 36% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 48.5 pts — higher than 93% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,301 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 622 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 173 times — 27.8%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 449 times — 72.2%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 69.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 5.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 9.07%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
20.6%
Neutral
69.1%
Bull Critical
68.6%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, AVAXUSD within the Bull Critical state.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, A +48.5% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 69.1% (previous: 20.6%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.5 to 99.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 15-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 10.06, up 0.69% from the previous candle (9.991). Market Energy was 69.1%, up 48.5 points from 20.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 10.06, up 0.69% from the previous 4H candle (9.991). This rise is larger than 36% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,286 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 48.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 20.6% to 69.1%. This rise is larger than 93% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 20.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 69.1%, AVAXUSD is 5.43 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 9.07 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.2%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Critical, 69.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.9%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 74 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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