Analysis

AVAXUSD 10.297 ↑0.9%: Bears very strong · 4H 15:00 Oct 11, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 10.204 · High 10.364 · Low 10.192 · Close 10.297 · Range (high − low) 0.172
AVAXUSD closed at 10.297, up 0.092 (+0.90%) from 10.205.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -83.5% to Bear Critical at -70.1%, up 13.4 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price10.47910.36410.20510.297
Energy28.9%-15.0%-83.5%-70.1%
Price change↓ 0.48%↓ 1.10%↓ 1.53%↑ 0.90%
Energy change↓ 9.4↓ 43.9↓ 68.5↑ 13.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.48%↓ 1.10%↓ 1.53%↑ 0.90%↓ 9.4↓ 43.9↓ 68.5↑ 13.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.90% — higher than 44% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.4 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,336 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 641 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 475 times — 74.1%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 166 times — 25.9%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: -70.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.41%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-11 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
-83.5%
Bear Extreme
-70.1%
Bear Critical
-49.7%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Market AVAXUSD in the near-peak Bear energy state.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +13.4% this candle, currently -70.1% (previous candle -83.5%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.6 to 84.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 15:00 on 11-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 10.297, up 0.9% from the previous candle (10.205). Market Energy was -70.1%, up 13.4 points from -83.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 10.297, up 0.9% from the previous 4H candle (10.205). This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,259 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -83.5% to -70.1%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -83.5%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.1%, AVAXUSD is 10.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.41 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 70%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -70.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5%. AVAXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 65.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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