Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 10.588 to 10.352, down 2.23%
Market Energy Bull Bias 34.7% to Neutral 18.1%, down 16.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.24%▲ 0.29%▲ 3.67%▼ 2.23%
Energy▼ 19.6▲ 4.9▲ 71.2▼ 16.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.24%▲ 0.29%▲ 3.67%▼ 2.23%▼ 19.6▲ 4.9▲ 71.2▼ 16.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.23% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.6 pts — higher than 67% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,165 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,158 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Neutral:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 567 times — 49%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 591 times — 51%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 18.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 2.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 38.95%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-09-25 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
34.7%
Bull Bias
18.1%
Neutral
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, AVAXUSD reflects the Bull/Bear balanced energy zone.

The AVAXUSD market at session end, Market Energy dropped -16.6% from the previous candle, from 34.7% to 18.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.7 to +97.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 10.352, down 2.23% from the previous candle (10.588). Market Energy was 18.1%, down 16.6 points from 34.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 10.352, down 2.23% from the previous 4H candle (10.588). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,165 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 34.7% to 18.1%. This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 34.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 18.1%, AVAXUSD is 2.81 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 38.95 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.3%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Neutral, 18.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.1%. AVAXUSD energy is currently above DXY by 89.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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