Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 6.508 to 6.217, down 4.47%
Market Energy Neutral -8.9% to Bear Extreme -80.5%, down 71.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.63%0.87%0.37%4.47%
Energy30.31.71.471.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.63% 0.87% 0.37% 4.47% 30.3 1.7 1.4 71.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.47% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 71.7 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,076 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 418 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 418 times100%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -80.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.04%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.46%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-8.9%
Neutral
-80.5%
Bear Extreme
-79.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, AVAXUSD shows Bear Extreme.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy dropped -71.7% this candle, currently -80.5% (previous candle -8.9%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.5 to +41.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 11-08-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 6.217, down 4.47% from the previous candle (6.508). Market Energy was -80.5%, down 71.7 points from -8.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 6.217, down 4.47% from the previous 4H candle (6.508). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,895 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 71.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -8.9% to -80.5%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -8.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.5%, AVAXUSD is 6.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.46 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74.3%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme, -80.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 18.2%. AVAXUSD energy is currently below DXY by 98.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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