Analysis

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Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 6.27 to 6.282, up 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -84.9% to Bear Extreme -75.7%, up 9.2 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.57%0.27%0.03%0.19%
Energy35.36.87.79.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.57% 0.27% 0.03% 0.19% 35.3 6.8 7.7 9.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.19% — higher than 10% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.2 pts — higher than 48% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,070 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 418 times

When AVAXUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 418 times100%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current AVAXUSD market energy: -75.75%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.25%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.25%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-07-24 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-84.9%
Bear Extreme
-75.7%
Bear Extreme
-73.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Market AVAXUSD in the peak Bear energy state.

The market energy reading Market Energy at -75.7%, up +9.2% from -84.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.6 to +66.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 24-07-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 6.282, up 0.19% from the previous candle (6.27). Market Energy was -75.7%, up 9.2 points from -84.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 6.282, up 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (6.27). This rise is larger than 10% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 12,785 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -84.9% to -75.7%. This rise is larger than 48% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at -84.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.7%, AVAXUSD is 1.25 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.25 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.2%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme, -75.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.7%. AVAXUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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