Analysis

AVAXUSD 9.128 ↓5.49%: Bears very strong · D Oct 22, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 9.659 · High 9.724 · Low 9.055 · Close 9.128 · Range (high − low) 0.669
AVAXUSD closed at 9.128, down 0.53 (-5.49%) from 9.658.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -27.1% to Bear Critical at -73.2%, down 46.2 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price9.6099.7559.6589.128
Energy-35.6%-26.9%-27.1%-73.2%
Price change↓ 1.72%↑ 1.52%↓ 0.99%↓ 5.49%
Energy change↑ 0.3↑ 8.7↓ 0.2↓ 46.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.72%↑ 1.52%↓ 0.99%↓ 5.49%↑ 0.3↑ 8.7↓ 0.2↓ 46.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 5.49% — higher than 78% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 46.2 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AVAXUSD Daily

Sample: 2,220 Daily candles from 2020-09-23 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 128 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 83 times — 64.8%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 45 times — 35.2%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: -73.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.27%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · D1 · 2026-10-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AVAXUSD chart →
Market Energy
-27.1%
Bear Bias
-73.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed Daily candle data, Result for AVAXUSD: the Bear Critical zone.

Meanwhile, Market Energy dropped -46.2% from the previous candle, from -27.1% to -73.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.2 to -26.9.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 22-10-2026, AVAXUSD was at 9.128, down 5.49% from the previous candle (9.658). Market Energy was -73.2%, down 46.2 points from -27.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 9.128, down 5.49% from the previous Daily candle (9.658). This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 2,220 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 46.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -27.1% to -73.2%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had AVAXUSD at -27.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AVAXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.2%, AVAXUSD is 13.23 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.27 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bear Critical, -73.2%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21%. AVAXUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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