Analysis

AUS200 Index 8,821 points ↓0.28%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 12:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 8,809.5 · High 8,830 · Low 8,796 · Close 8,821 · Range (high − low) 34
AUS200 Index closed at 8,821 points, down 24.4 (-0.28%) from 8,845.4.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 26.2% to Bull Bias at 22.7%, down 3.5 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price8,797.98,789.48,845.48,821
Energy-36.9%-52.5%26.2%22.7%
Price change↓ 0.15%↓ 0.10%↑ 0.64%↓ 0.28%
Energy change↑ 6.2↓ 15.6↑ 78.7↓ 3.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.15%↓ 0.10%↑ 0.64%↓ 0.28%↑ 6.2↓ 15.6↑ 78.7↓ 3.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.28% — higher than 59% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.5 pts — higher than 14% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 307 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 27 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bull Bias:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 11 times — 40.7%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 16 times — 59.3%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: 22.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 37.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 1.79%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-10-21 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
26.2%
Bull Bias
22.7%
Bull Bias
12.1%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

AUS200 Index processing result: the Bull Bias level after the 4H candle closed.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy reading dropped -3.5%, moving from 26.2% to 22.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -74.7 to 87.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 12:00 on 21-10-2026, AUS200 Index was at 8,821, down 0.28% from the previous candle (8,845.4). Market Energy was 22.7%, down 3.5 points from 26.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,821, down 0.28% from the previous 4H candle (8,845.4). This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 308 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 26.2% to 22.7%. This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at 26.2%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 22.7%, AUS200 Index is 37.33 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 1.79 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 64.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 37.5%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bull Bias, 22.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.4%. AUS200 Index energy is currently above DXY by 25.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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