Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,729 to 8,634.1 points, down 1.09%
Market Energy Neutral -12.4% to Bear Extreme -86.7%, down 74.3 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▼ 0.23%▼ 0.25%▼ 1.09%
Energy▼ 13.5▼ 29.3▼ 44.3▼ 74.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▼ 0.23%▼ 0.25%▼ 1.09%▼ 13.5▼ 29.3▼ 44.3▼ 74.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.09% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 74.3 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 250 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 15 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 100%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -86.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.19%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.31%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-10-01 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
-12.4%
Neutral
-86.7%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, AUS200 Index within Bear Extreme.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy moved from -12.4% to -86.7%, down -74.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -86.7 to +84.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,634.1, down 1.09% from the previous candle (8,729). Market Energy was -86.7%, down 74.3 points from -12.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,634.1, down 1.09% from the previous 4H candle (8,729). This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200 on record since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 74.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -12.4% to -86.7%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -12.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86.7%, AUS200 Index is 12.19 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.31 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -10.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.2%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Extreme, -86.7%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 82.3%. AUS200 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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