Analysis

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Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,912.2 to 8,887.6 points, down 0.28%
Market Energy Bear Critical -74.4% to Bear Critical -74.1%, up 0.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.08%0.24%0.28%
Energy22.00.55.00.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.08% 0.24% 0.28% 22.0 0.5 5.0 0.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.28% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.4 pts — higher than 2% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 174 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 14 times

When AUS200 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 7 times50%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 7 times50%

Current AUS200 Index market energy: -74.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.44%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-09-09 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-74.4%
Bear Critical
-74.1%
Bear Critical
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Critical level is the result just recorded for AUS200 Index after the 4H candle closed.

Market energy movement A +0.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -74.1% (previous: -74.4%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -100 to +6.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,887.6, down 0.28% from the previous candle (8,912.2). Market Energy was -74.1%, up 0.4 points from -74.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,887.6, down 0.28% from the previous 4H candle (8,912.2). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 171 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.4% to -74.1%. This rise is larger than 2% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -74.4%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.1%, AUS200 Index is 14.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.44 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.4%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Critical, -74.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.2%. AUS200 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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