Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 9,202.5 to 9,212.5 points, up 0.11%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.9% to Bear Critical -60.2%, up 10.6 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.13%▼ 0.05%▲ 0.01%▲ 0.11%
Energy▼ 17.2▲ 9.6▲ 6.8▲ 10.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.13%▼ 0.05%▲ 0.01%▲ 0.11%▼ 17.2▲ 9.6▲ 6.8▲ 10.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.11% — higher than 32% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.6 pts — higher than 53% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 275 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-08
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 18 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 55.6%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 8 times — 44.4%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -60.25%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.25%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.25%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-70.9%
Bear Critical
-60.2%
Bear Critical
-74.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, AUS200 Index currently in the Bear Critical energy zone.

The AUS200 market at session end, Compared to the previous candle (-70.9%), Market Energy rose +10.6% to -60.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -87.4 to +74.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 12-08-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 9,212.5, up 0.11% from the previous candle (9,202.5). Market Energy was -60.2%, up 10.6 points from -70.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 9,212.5, up 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (9,202.5). This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 72 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.9% to -60.2%. This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at -70.9%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.2%, AUS200 Index is 0.25 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.25 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 53.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.8%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Critical, -60.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 18.7%. AUS200 Index energy is currently below DXY by 79 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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