Analysis

AUDJPY 110.1315 ↓0.5%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 16:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 110.6825 · High 110.6965 · Low 109.9555 · Close 110.1315 · Range (high − low) 0.741
AUDJPY closed at 110.1315, down 0.5505 (-0.50%) from 110.682.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -31.4% to Bear Extreme at -89.2%, down 57.8 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price111.147111.212110.682110.132
Energy57.1%52.1%-31.4%-89.2%
Price change↑ 0.01%↑ 0.06%↓ 0.48%↓ 0.50%
Energy change↓ 0.6↓ 5.1↓ 83.4↓ 57.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.01%↑ 0.06%↓ 0.48%↓ 0.50%↓ 0.6↓ 5.1↓ 83.4↓ 57.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.50% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 57.8 pts — higher than 93% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 393 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 10 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 100%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: -89.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.68%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.82%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-22 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-31.4%
Bear Bias
-89.2%
Bear Extreme
-79.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, AUDJPY noted at the extreme Bear energy state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Compared to the previous candle (-31.4%), Market Energy dropped -57.8% to -89.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.2 to 95.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 16:00 on 22-10-2026, AUDJPY was at 110.1315, down 0.5% from the previous candle (110.682). Market Energy was -89.2%, down 57.8 points from -31.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 110.1315, down 0.5% from the previous 4H candle (110.682). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 392 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 57.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -31.4% to -89.2%. This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at -31.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.2%, AUDJPY is 14.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.82 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -58.9%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Extreme, -89.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82.2%. AUDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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