Analysis

AUDJPY 111.0435 ↓0.08%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 20:00 Oct 21, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 111.128 · High 111.1925 · Low 111.002 · Close 111.0435 · Range (high − low) 0.1905
AUDJPY closed at 111.0435, down 0.09 (-0.08%) from 111.1335.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 62.1% to Bull Bias at 58.9%, down 3.3 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price111.045110.825111.134111.044
Energy79.7%58.7%62.1%58.9%
Price change↑ 0.25%↓ 0.20%↑ 0.28%↓ 0.08%
Energy change↑ 16.9↓ 20.9↑ 3.4↓ 3.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.25%↓ 0.20%↑ 0.28%↓ 0.08%↑ 16.9↓ 20.9↑ 3.4↓ 3.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 49% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.3 pts — higher than 16% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 384 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 30 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 50%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 15 times — 50%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: 58.87%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 1.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 37.99%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
62.1%
Bull Critical
58.9%
Bull Bias
57.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

AUDJPY classified into the Bull Bias energy level after the 4H candle completed.

Market energy measurement The energy level dropped -3.3%: from 62.1% now at 58.9%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from 20.2 to 95.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 21-10-2026, AUDJPY was at 111.0435, down 0.08% from the previous candle (111.1335). Market Energy was 58.9%, down 3.3 points from 62.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 111.0435, down 0.08% from the previous 4H candle (111.1335). This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 387 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 62.1% to 58.9%. This drop is larger than 16% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at 62.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 58.9%, AUDJPY is 1.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 37.99 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bull Bias, 58.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -22.5%. AUDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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