Analysis

AUDJPY 109.746 ↓0.15%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 04:00 Oct 17, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 109.8145 · High 109.815 · Low 109.656 · Close 109.746 · Range (high − low) 0.159
AUDJPY closed at 109.746, down 0.1595 (-0.15%) from 109.9055.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 45.3% to Bull Bias at 31.8%, down 13.4 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price109.983109.91109.906109.746
Energy50.8%58.9%45.3%31.8%
Price change↑ 0.31%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.00%↓ 0.15%
Energy change↑ 82.3↑ 8.1↓ 13.6↓ 13.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.31%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.00%↓ 0.15%↑ 82.3↑ 8.1↓ 13.6↓ 13.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 65% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.4 pts — higher than 60% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 372 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 27 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 48.1%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 14 times — 51.9%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: 31.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 28.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 10.94%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
45.3%
Bull Bias
31.8%
Bull Bias
47.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, AUDJPY in the Bull Bias state.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Energy delta -13.4%: Market Energy at 31.8%, previously 45.3%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.5 to 93.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 17-10-2026, AUDJPY was at 109.746, down 0.15% from the previous candle (109.9055). Market Energy was 31.8%, down 13.4 points from 45.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 109.746, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (109.9055). This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 371 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 45.3% to 31.8%. This drop is larger than 60% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at 45.3%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 31.8%, AUDJPY is 28.18 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 10.94 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.6%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bull Bias, 31.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.6%. AUDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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