Analysis

AUDJPY 110.4725 ↓0.26%: Bears very strong · 4H 00:00 Oct 15, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 110.756 · High 110.8155 · Low 110.379 · Close 110.4725 · Range (high − low) 0.4365
AUDJPY closed at 110.4725, down 0.284 (-0.26%) from 110.7565.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 70.2% to Bear Critical at -63.9%, down 134.0 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price110.73111.062110.757110.473
Energy81.2%93.0%70.2%-63.9%
Price change↓ 0.03%↑ 0.30%↓ 0.27%↓ 0.26%
Energy change↓ 0.8↑ 11.8↓ 22.8↓ 134.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.03%↑ 0.30%↓ 0.27%↓ 0.26%↓ 0.8↑ 11.8↓ 22.8↓ 134.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.26% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 134.0 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 372 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 22 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 68.2%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 31.8%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: -63.85%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.65%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
70.2%
Bull Critical
-63.9%
Bear Critical
-64.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AUDJPY noted at the Bear Critical measurement.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy moved from 70.2% to -63.9%, down -134% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -68.5 to 93.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 14-10-2026, AUDJPY was at 110.4725, down 0.26% from the previous candle (110.7565). Market Energy was -63.9%, down 134.0 points from 70.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 110.4725, down 0.26% from the previous 4H candle (110.7565). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 358 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 134 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.2% to -63.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY on record since 2019.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at 70.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.9%, AUDJPY is 3.85 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.65 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.8%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Critical, -63.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.6%. AUDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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