Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
AUDJPY from 110.5325 to 110.019, down 0.46%
Market Energy Neutral -19.5% to Bear Bias -51.7%, down 32.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.06%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.20%▼ 0.46%
Energy▲ 0.1▼ 11.8▲ 12.3▼ 32.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.06%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.20%▼ 0.46%▲ 0.1▼ 11.8▲ 12.3▼ 32.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.46% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.2 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 290 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 21 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 71.4%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 28.6%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: -51.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 30.84%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 8.28%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-29 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.5%
Neutral
-51.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Bias energy level determined for AUDJPY through the 4H candle data.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy at -51.7%, down -32.2% from -19.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -87.4 to +42.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, AUDJPY was at 110.019, down 0.46% from the previous candle (110.5325). Market Energy was -51.7%, down 32.2 points from -19.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 110.019, down 0.46% from the previous 4H candle (110.5325). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 290 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.5% to -51.7%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at -19.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -51.7%, AUDJPY is 30.84 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 8.28 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.7%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Bias, -51.7%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.4%. AUDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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