Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDJPY from 110.887 to 111.164, up 0.25%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.8% to Bull Extreme 76.3%, up 8.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.20%0.10%0.25%
Energy9.226.26.38.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.20% 0.10% 0.25% 9.2 26.2 6.3 8.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.25% — higher than 90% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.5 pts — higher than 43% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 246 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 13 times

When AUDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 13 times100%

Current AUDJPY market energy: 76.28%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 23.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 1.78%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-17 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
67.8%
Bull Critical
76.3%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
12:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, AUDJPY reflects the Bull Extreme measurement.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +8.5% this candle, currently 76.3% (previous candle 67.8%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -71.9 to +82.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 18-09-2026 closed, AUDJPY was at 111.164, up 0.25% from the previous candle (110.887). Market Energy was 76.3%, up 8.5 points from 67.8%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 111.164, up 0.25% from the previous 4H candle (110.887). This rise is larger than 90% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 246 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.8% to 76.3%. This rise is larger than 43% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at 67.8%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 76.3%, AUDJPY is 23.72 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 1.78 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -47.6%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bull Extreme, 76.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 19.4%. AUDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 56.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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