Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDJPY from 114.711 to 114.6375, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Bias 30.2% to Bear Bias -22.2%, down 52.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.02%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.06%
Energy▼ 6.7▲ 8.0▼ 48.8▼ 52.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.02%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.18%▼ 0.06%▼ 6.7▲ 8.0▼ 48.8▼ 52.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 52.4 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDJPY 4H

Sample: 315 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 24 times

▸When AUDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 17 times — 70.8%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 29.2%

▸Current AUDJPY market energy: -22.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.82%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-28 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDJPY chart →
Market Energy
30.2%
Bull Bias
-22.2%
Bear Bias
-33.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, AUDJPY within the Bear Bias energy zone.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy dropped -52.4% this candle, currently -22.2% (previous candle 30.2%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -26.2 to +81.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 29-08-2026 closed, AUDJPY was at 114.6375, down 0.06% from the previous candle (114.711). Market Energy was -22.2%, down 52.4 points from 30.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 114.6375, down 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (114.711). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 161 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 52.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.2% to -22.2%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDJPY at 30.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -22.2%, AUDJPY is 1.3 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.82 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18.4%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Bias, -22.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 99.1%. AUDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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