Analysis

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Price and energy
AUDJPY from 112.568 to 111.996, down 0.51%
Market Energy Neutral 2.4% to Bear Critical -74.5%, down 76.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.09%0.01%0.51%
Energy7.122.07.076.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.09% 0.01% 0.51% 7.1 22.0 7.0 76.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 76.9 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDJPY 1H

Sample: 58,239 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,566 times

When AUDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDJPY moved to higher Market State: 1,842 times71.8%
  • then AUDJPY moved to lower Market State: 724 times28.2%

Current AUDJPY market energy: -74.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.48%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.02%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

AUDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
2.4%
Neutral
-74.5%
Bear Critical
-65.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, AUDJPY within the Bear Critical energy zone.

On the measurement side, Compared to the previous candle (2.4%), Market Energy dropped -76.9% to -74.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDJPY Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +90.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, AUDJPY was at 111.996, down 0.51% from the previous candle (112.568). Market Energy was -74.5%, down 76.9 points from 2.4%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDJPY closed at 111.996, down 0.51% from the previous 1H candle (112.568). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDJPY, across 47,851 candles since 2019.

How did AUDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 76.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 2.4% to -74.5%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for AUDJPY.

Do AUDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had AUDJPY at 2.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.5%, AUDJPY is 14.48 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.02 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.9%. Against this backdrop, AUDJPY (Bear Critical, -74.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 37.6%. AUDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDJPY on the AUDJPY overview →

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