Analysis

AUDCAD 0.98973 ↓0.29%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 08:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.99243 · High 0.99273 · Low 0.9889 · Close 0.98973 · Range (high − low) 0.003835
AUDCAD closed at 0.98973, down 0.002835 (-0.29%) from 0.99256.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -74.7% to Bear Extreme at -84.8%, down 10.0 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.994760.992590.992560.98973
Energy64.8%-48.5%-74.7%-84.8%
Price change↓ 0.15%↓ 0.22%↓ 0.00%↓ 0.29%
Energy change↓ 20.6↓ 113.3↓ 26.2↓ 10.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.15%↓ 0.22%↓ 0.00%↓ 0.29%↓ 20.6↓ 113.3↓ 26.2↓ 10.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.29% — higher than 95% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme AUDCAD 4H

Sample: 380 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 9 times

▸When AUDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then AUDCAD moved to higher Market State: 9 times — 100%
  • then AUDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current AUDCAD market energy: -84.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 10.27%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 15.23%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

AUDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-74.7%
Bear Extreme
-84.8%
Bear Extreme
-88.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, AUDCAD within the Bear Extreme zone.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market Energy dropped -10% from the previous candle, from -74.7% to -84.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDCAD Market Energy ranged from -84.8 to 85.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 08:00 on 15-10-2026, AUDCAD was at 0.98973, down 0.29% from the previous candle (0.99256). Market Energy was -84.8%, down 10.0 points from -74.7%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did AUDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDCAD closed at 0.98973, down 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (0.99256). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD, across 360 candles since 2019.

How did AUDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.7% to -84.8%. This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD.

Do AUDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDCAD at -74.7%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -84.8%, AUDCAD is 10.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 15.23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -74.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.1%. Against this backdrop, AUDCAD (Bear Extreme, -84.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -45.6%. AUDCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDCAD on the AUDCAD overview →

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