Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDCAD from 0.98938 to 0.98825, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bear Bias -32.6% to Bear Bias -42.5%, down 9.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▲ 0.01%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.11%
Energy▲ 8.1▲ 4.7▲ 16.7▼ 9.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▲ 0.01%▲ 0.10%▼ 0.11%▲ 8.1▲ 4.7▲ 16.7▼ 9.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.8 pts — higher than 50% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUDCAD 4H

Sample: 300 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 25 times

▸When AUDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUDCAD moved to higher Market State: 17 times — 68%
  • then AUDCAD moved to lower Market State: 8 times — 32%

▸Current AUDCAD market energy: -42.45%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 21.57%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 17.55%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AUDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-01 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-32.6%
Bear Bias
-42.5%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, AUDCAD reflects the Bear Bias zone.

Market trend energy Energy delta -9.8%: Market Energy at -42.5%, previously -32.6%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDCAD Market Energy ranged from -81.5 to +55.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, AUDCAD was at 0.98825, down 0.11% from the previous candle (0.98938). Market Energy was -42.5%, down 9.8 points from -32.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDCAD closed at 0.98825, down 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (0.98938). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD, across 302 candles since 2019.

How did AUDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -32.6% to -42.5%. This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD.

Do AUDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDCAD at -32.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -42.5%, AUDCAD is 21.57 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 17.55 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.1%. Against this backdrop, AUDCAD (Bear Bias, -42.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.8%. AUDCAD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDCAD on the AUDCAD overview →

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