Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDCAD from 0.983 to 0.98211, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Critical -60.5% to Bear Critical -60.1%, up 0.4 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.06%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.09%
Energy▼ 14.7▼ 7.2▼ 0.7▲ 0.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.06%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.09%▼ 14.7▼ 7.2▼ 0.7▲ 0.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.4 pts — higher than 4% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDCAD 4H

Sample: 340 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 15 times

▸When AUDCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDCAD moved to higher Market State: 11 times — 73.3%
  • then AUDCAD moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 26.7%

▸Current AUDCAD market energy: -60.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.07%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.43%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AUDCAD · H4 · 2026-08-11 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-60.5%
Bear Critical
-60.1%
Bear Critical
-44.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, AUDCAD classified as the Bear Critical state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta +0.4%: Market Energy at -60.1%, previously -60.5%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDCAD Market Energy ranged from -60.5 to -11.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 11-08-2026 closed, AUDCAD was at 0.98211, down 0.09% from the previous candle (0.983). Market Energy was -60.1%, up 0.4 points from -60.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDCAD closed at 0.98211, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (0.983). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD, across 79 candles since 2019.

How did AUDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.5% to -60.1%. This rise is larger than 4% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDCAD.

Do AUDCAD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDCAD at -60.5%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AUDCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.1%, AUDCAD is 0.07 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.43 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.7%. Against this backdrop, AUDCAD (Bear Critical, -60.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 28.5%. AUDCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDCAD on the AUDCAD overview →

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