Analysis

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Price and energy
ADAUSD from 0.1965 to 0.2026, up 3.10%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.4% to Bear Bias -44.6%, up 26.9 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.51%6.33%0.56%3.10%
Energy11.828.20.526.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.51% 6.33% 0.56% 3.10% 11.8 28.2 0.5 26.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.10% — higher than 59% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 26.9 pts — higher than 88% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ADAUSD Daily

Sample: 3,075 Daily candles from 2018-04-18 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 222 times

When ADAUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 156 times70.3%
  • then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 66 times29.7%

Current ADAUSD market energy: -44.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 23.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 15.42%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ADAUSD · D1 · 2026-09-17 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-71.4%
Bear Critical
-44.6%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, ADAUSD in energy leaning Bear.

The energy side shows Market Energy rose +26.9% this candle, currently -44.6% (previous candle -71.4%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -71.4 to -42.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.2026, up 3.1% from the previous candle (0.1965). Market Energy was -44.6%, up 26.9 points from -71.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ADAUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

ADAUSD closed at 0.2026, up 3.1% from the previous Daily candle (0.1965). This rise is larger than 59% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for ADAUSD, across 2,817 candles since 2019.

How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 26.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.4% to -44.6%. This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for ADAUSD.

Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ADAUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had ADAUSD at -71.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, ADAUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -44.6%, ADAUSD is 23.7 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 15.42 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.1%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Bias, -44.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 98.6%. ADAUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →

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