Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 2,247.58 to 1,792.27, down 20.26%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.2% to Bear Extreme -96.1%, down 29.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.72%▼ 3.59%▼ 4.50%▼ 20.26%
Energy▲ 1.5▼ 17.2▼ 55.9▼ 29.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.72%▼ 3.59%▼ 4.50%▼ 20.26%▲ 1.5▼ 17.2▼ 55.9▼ 29.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 20.26% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 29.9 pts — higher than 82% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPDUSD Daily

Sample: 3,273 Daily candles from 2013-02-27 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 109 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 109 times — 100%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -96.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.63%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.87%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · D1 · 2020-03-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-66.2%
Bear Critical
-96.1%
Bear Extreme
-96.4%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, Result for XPDUSD: the extreme Bear energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, A -29.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -96.1% (previous: -66.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.1 to +6.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 12-03-2020 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,792.27, down 20.26% from the previous candle (2,247.58). Market Energy was -96.1%, down 29.9 points from -66.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,792.27, down 20.26% from the previous Daily candle (2,247.58). This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD on record since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.2% to -96.1%. This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPDUSD at -66.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.1%, XPDUSD is 21.63 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.87 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -39.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.3%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Extreme, -96.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.7%. XPDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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