Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 83.509 to 84.208, up 0.84%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.1% to Bear Critical -66.3%, up 15.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.96%0.81%1.37%0.84%
Energy40.372.334.415.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.96% 0.81% 1.37% 0.84% 40.3 72.3 34.4 15.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.84% — higher than 95% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 15.8 pts — higher than 72% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XAGUSD 1H

Sample: 69,272 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,433 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,853 times76.2%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 580 times23.8%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -66.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.21%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H1 · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-82.1%
Bear Extreme
-66.3%
Bear Critical
-62.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The near-extreme Bear energy zone recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for XAGUSD.

Market energy measurement Market Energy reading rose +15.8%, moving from -82.1% to -66.3% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +90.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 22:00 on 04-03-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 84.208, up 0.84% from the previous candle (83.509). Market Energy was -66.3%, up 15.8 points from -82.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 84.208, up 0.84% from the previous 1H candle (83.509). This rise is larger than 95% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 42,464 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 15.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82.1% to -66.3%. This rise is larger than 72% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAGUSD at -82.1%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.3%, XAGUSD is 6.29 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.21 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.4%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Critical, -66.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 1.3%. XAGUSD energy is currently below DXY by 67.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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