Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 73.838 to 72.64, down 1.62%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.5% to Bear Extreme -77.9%, down 20.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.57%1.25%1.91%1.62%
Energy6.78.22.620.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.57% 1.25% 1.91% 1.62% 6.7 8.2 2.6 20.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.62% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.4 pts — higher than 78% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAGUSD 1H

Sample: 69,272 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,542 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,542 times100%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -77.85%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.35%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.15%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H1 · 2025-12-29 14:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAGUSD chart →
Market Energy
-57.5%
Bear Bias
-77.9%
Bear Extreme
-82.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, XAGUSD within the extreme Bear energy zone.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -57.5% to -77.9%, down -20.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -84.2 to +99.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 21:00 on 29-12-2025 closed, XAGUSD was at 72.64, down 1.62% from the previous candle (73.838). Market Energy was -77.9%, down 20.4 points from -57.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 72.64, down 1.62% from the previous 1H candle (73.838). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 41,409 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.5% to -77.9%. This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAGUSD at -57.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.9%, XAGUSD is 3.35 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.15 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -52%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.5%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Extreme, -77.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.1%. XAGUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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